Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 0.000007 0.000007 0.000008 0.000009 0.000010 0.000011 0.000013
2025-03-23 0.000006 0.000007 0.000008 0.000009 0.000011 0.000013 0.000016
2025-03-30 0.000005 0.000006 0.000007 0.000009 0.000011 0.000014 0.000019
2025-04-06 0.000004 0.000005 0.000007 0.000009 0.000012 0.000016 0.000022
2025-04-13 0.000004 0.000005 0.000006 0.000009 0.000012 0.000017 0.000026
2025-04-20 0.000003 0.000005 0.000006 0.000009 0.000013 0.000019 0.000030
2025-04-27 0.000003 0.000004 0.000006 0.000009 0.000014 0.000022 0.000036
2025-05-04 0.000003 0.000004 0.000006 0.000009 0.000014 0.000024 0.000042
2025-05-11 0.000003 0.000004 0.000006 0.000009 0.000015 0.000026 0.000050
2025-05-18 0.000002 0.000004 0.000006 0.000009 0.000016 0.000029 0.000058
2025-05-25 0.000002 0.000004 0.000006 0.000009 0.000017 0.000031 0.000068
2025-06-01 0.000002 0.000003 0.000005 0.000009 0.000017 0.000033 0.000076
2025-06-08 0.000002 0.000003 0.000005 0.000009 0.000017 0.000036 0.000089
2025-06-15 0.000002 0.000003 0.000005 0.000009 0.000018 0.000040 0.000106
2025-06-22 0.000002 0.000003 0.000005 0.000009 0.000019 0.000042 0.000118
2025-06-29 0.000002 0.000003 0.000005 0.000009 0.000019 0.000045 0.000138
2025-07-06 0.000002 0.000003 0.000005 0.000009 0.000019 0.000047 0.000152
2025-07-13 0.000001 0.000002 0.000004 0.000009 0.000020 0.000051 0.000176
2025-07-20 0.000001 0.000002 0.000004 0.000009 0.000021 0.000056 0.000212
2025-07-27 0.000001 0.000002 0.000004 0.000009 0.000022 0.000061 0.000246
2025-08-03 0.000001 0.000002 0.000004 0.000009 0.000023 0.000067 0.000293
2025-08-10 0.000001 0.000002 0.000004 0.000009 0.000023 0.000072 0.000341
2025-08-17 0.000001 0.000002 0.000004 0.000009 0.000024 0.000078 0.000405